The Christian Science Monitor Online

from the May 16, 2007 edition:

http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/0516/p01s01-woaf.html

Why Africa won't rein in Mugabe


African leaders recently chose Zimbabwe to chair the UN Commission
on Sustainable Development, despite strong objections from Western
countries.
By Scott Baldauf | Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor

Johannesburg, South Africa

When African leaders nominated Zimbabwe - a country with 2,200
percent inflation, looming famine, and authoritarian tendencies - to
chair the UN Commission for Sustainable Development this past week,
they may have been sending the world a message.

By giving Robert Mugabe's Zimbabwe the yearlong chairmanship, Africa
has signaled defiance of the West, which has attemptedto isolate
Zimbabwe for alleged human rights abuses and economic mismanagement.

Many African nations have grown increasingly frustrated by the
development policies of Western donors that they see as intrusive and
harsh. When Australia cancels a cricket tour to Zimbabwe, as it did
this week, or when the European Union refuses to hold an EU-Africa
summit, as it has for the past six years, because of Mr. Mugabe, many
Africans see the pressure as neocolonial habits that must be broken.
For many across the continent, Mugabe's muscular land confiscation
from white farmers and talk of social justice still have appeal.

"This is African brinkmanship with the West," says Peter Kagwanja, a
senior researcher for the Human Sciences Research Council in Tshwane
(formerly Pretoria). "Many African nations are still struggling to
get over the economic and political legacy of past colonial and
racist regimes, and so they are more or less sympathetic with the
bold moves taken by Zimbabwe," moves that "they are not capable of
doing themselves."

While most African leaders recognize that following Zimbabwe's
anti-Western stance would be an act of economic suicide, Mr. Kagwanja
says that Africa is throwing its support behind Zimbabwe to show its
disinclination to be pushed around by the powerful West. In practice,
this means that the nomination of Zimbabwe for the UN agency this
year is just the beginning. "All these things that come up, Zimbabwe
will be promoted as Africa's choice," he says.

Why Mugabe resonates in Africa

"The resonance behind what Mugabe says is a result of what Africans
see as the duplicity of the Western international institutions" such
as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, says Chris
Maroleng, a top Zimbabwe expert at the Institute for Security Studies
in Tshwane. There is anger over "the imposition of the conditions on
aid," he says.

But while he understands the reasons for this gap between Africa and
the West, he sees the selection of Zimbabwe to head the UN Commission
for Sustainable Development as a mistake. "By hoisting the mantle of
a known autocrat and dictator in order to make a statement is
regrettable. Certainly there is a need for more African voices on
development issues. But I don't think that Mugabe is that poster
boy."

For the West, Zimbabwe is a pariah nation. British newspapers
regularly refer to Mugabe as "Mad Bob," and Australia said Monday it
would spend $15 million backing Mugabe's critics, just a day after
banning the cricket tour. But for many in Africa, Mugabe is something
of a hero. He's seen as a man who took land away from whites whose
ancestors swindled or stole the land from blacks nearly a century
ago.

This is not the first time Africa has shown its independence on
matters of international import. Over the past decade, African
leaders have welcomed Chinese development loans, which, unlike those
of the World Bank, don't make aid conditional on economic or
political reforms. In its year-long stint on the UN Security Council,
South Africa has voted against sanctioning Burma and Zimbabwe for
their human rights records and backed Iran's efforts to avoid
sanctions because of its uranium-enrichment programs.

At a March 28 conference of the Southern African Development
Community (SADC) in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, South African President
Thabo Mbeki called for African unity above all.

"The fight against Zimbabwe is a fight against us all. Today it is
Zimbabwe; tomorrow it will be South Africa, it will be Mozambique, it
will be Angola, it will be any other African country. And any
government that is perceived to be strong and to be resistant to
imperialists would be made a target and would be undermined. So let
us not allow any point of weakness in the solidarity of SADC, because
that weakness will also be transferred to the rest of Africa."

At the end of the conference, African leaders threw their unanimous
support behind Zimbabwe's Mugabe and called on Mr. Mbeki (not the
West) to mediate between Mugabe and the political opposition. Leaders
who had been critical of Mugabe before the conference, including
Zambian President Levy Mwanawasa, fell silent.

'Quiet diplomacy'

South Africa's attempt at "quiet diplomacy" needs time to bear fruit,
says Mr. Maroleng. By taking the West out of the negotiation process,
Mbeki has disarmed Mugabe of his most resonant arguments for holding
on to power.

"It shifted the battleground from the international arena, which
Mugabe loves," he adds, "to the domestic issues of economic recovery
and constitutional reform and the violent nature that Mugabe engages
his opponents. And to a degree this strategy may be working."

This week, Zimbabwe's Minister of Rural Housing and Social Amenities,
Emmerson Mnangagwa, revealed that Mbeki has imposed conditions -
including the acceptance of Mugabe as president and the renunciation
of violence - on the two main opposition leaders, Morgan Tsvangirai
and Arthur Mutambara, in order for talks to proceed.

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