My opinion in  this subject is that this lesson results came about not wholly because of the coalition of the opposition but for these reasons.

1. That Moi was to retire and hence there was bounce to be change,whether a change in ruling party or person. If Moi was to take part in  the election as a presidential candidate himself then I believe the result was going to be different from what it is today.

2  Moi failed to allow his party  to select a party presidential candidate but rather decided to impose one on them.This made the majority of the party supporters to retaliate and voted for the oppostion. To me it more of a protect vote than a support for NARC. Allowing the KANU party to go through the normal process of selecting a candidate could also had a big impact on the result.

3. The biggest success in this whole process of change is the incorperation of a limited term for the presidency in Kenyan constitution.This is what triggered the whole process.

So if there is any lesson for Gambia and Gambians to learn, then it is how to include this limited presidential term in our constitution. There may be so many ways forward for our country but this can be easiest and maybe the quickest to help us achieve what all Gambians want for our dear motherland.

Personal opinion, nothing more

Thanks

Gai 




>From: Sanusi Owens <[log in to unmask]>
>Reply-To: The Gambia and related-issues mailing list <[log in to unmask]>
>To: [log in to unmask]
>Subject: Re: KENYA OPPOSITION, A LESSON FOR THE GAMBIA
>Date: Mon, 30 Dec 2002 11:11:57 +0000
>
>Folks
>
>Lets not jump into conclusion and think that we can
>learn from the Kenyan Opposition. Whilst, I welcome
>the Kenyan People for diching KANU after 40 years in
>office, I remain sceptical that this could only happen
>not as a result of policies but on who should lead the
>KANU party. Don't forget that the likes of Raila
>Odinga and many others had one time formed an alliance
>with KANU in the hope of contesting this General
>Election.
>
>If there is anything we can learn from NARC then
>surely it must be based on how Kibaki was selected as
>Presidential Candidate. Remember that the Movement for
>Restoration of Democracy in the Gambia did publish a
>reference document on forming an alliance for the
>entire opposition. If our Opposition parties had taken
>notice of that useful document, then surely we would
>have been seen the end of Jammeh and the APRC in
>power.
>
>To conclude; I enclose an article which I read from
>Sunday's Observer Newspaper,UK;
>
>Kenya sweeps corrupt ruler out of power
>
>Opposition hails 'fantastic victory' after peaceful
>election
>
>James Astill in Nairobi
>Sunday December 29, 2002
>The Observer
>
>Kenyans revelled in a day few dared to dream of in
>four decades, as the preliminary results yesterday
>from Friday's elections suggested a landslide victory
>for the opposition, sweeping away many crooks and
>cronies of a ruling party that has terrorised and
>impoverished them since independence.
>With about a fifth of the poll already counted last
>night, Mwai Kibaki, a veteran opposition leader and
>former Vice-President, had won around 70 per cent of
>the votes. Uhuru Kenyatta, the candidate of the
>outgoing President Daniel arap Moi's Kanu party and
>son of Jomo, Kenya's founding father, had won less
>than 30 per cent, offering Kenya the chance of one of
>the most peaceful and democratic transitions from 'Big
>Man' rule in history.
>
>'We are cruising to a fantastic and historic victory,'
>said Kijana Wamalwa, a key member of Kibaki's National
>Rainbow Coalition (NARC).
>
>'The mood here is very sombre,' said an official at
>Nairobi's State House, the centre of a kleptocracy
>which has forced some 60 per cent of Kenyans into
>wretched poverty.
>
>Fearing a repeat of the violence that claimed
>thousands of lives before previous elections,
>Nairobeans barely ventured out over Christmas, except
>to vote. But as radio stations broadcast the
>unofficial results from polling stations around the
>country, small, disbelieving crowds emerged. 'No
>violence and no more Kanu, no more Moi - it's too
>much, a gift from God,' said Josiah Owade, one of a
>group of youths hunkered round a radio.
>
>After 24 years of misrule, Moi was constitutionally
>obliged to step aside. Yet many Kenyans feared that he
>planned to rule on through Kenyatta. 'Choosing
>Kenyatta was all about self-preservation for the old
>man and his family,' said one diplomat in Nairobi
>yesterday. 'But the trick hasn't paid off, because
>Kenyans wouldn't be fooled.'
>
>Even more remarkably in a country where every vote has
>traditionally had its price, many of Moi's most
>notorious cronies lost their seats. They include
>Vice-President Musalia Mudavadi; Justice Minister
>Julius Sunkuli; Moi's crony-in-chief Shariff Nassir;
>and John Haroun Mwau, a Kanu vice-chairman.
>
>'This is a glorious day for Kenya,' said John Githongo
>of Transparency International, the watchdog which
>ranks Kenya among the world's most corrupt nations.
>'All the evidence suggest Kenyans have taken bribes
>across the country, and then voted with their
>consciences.'
>
>At a military parade yesterday morning to mark his
>passing, Moi shrugged off the first results. 'That's
>democracy,' he said. 'As long as Kenyans are united, I
>am satisfied.' At the time, Moi's thuggish son Gideon
>- one of the most feared men in Kenya and Kenyatta's
>likely choice as Prime Minister - represented Kanu's
>only victory. He stood unopposed after opposition
>candidates mysteriously withdrew.
>
>NARC's likely victory took on added significance in
>western Kenya where the sun wore a halo on Friday.
>Meteorologists said the phenomenon was caused by light
>refracting through ice. But the Luo tribe, one of
>Kenya's poorest, celebrated it as propitious and more
>than 90 per cent of them voted for NARC.
>
>As Kenya's likely new government, NARC looks only
>fairly auspicious. It was formed when many of Moi's
>leading cronies deserted Kanu, after being passed over
>for Kenyatta. United only by hatred of Moi, it has no
>ideology, no concrete policies and could crumble over
>the division of spoils.
>
>With many of Kanu's most violent politicians now in
>NARC, Kenyans have been spared the politically stirred
>tribal clashes that claimed more than 3,000 lives
>before two previous elections.
>
>On polling day, the threat of rioting lurked in
>Nairobi's slums, where NARC's candidate - and likely
>Prime Minister - Raila Odinga claimed two million
>voters had been disenfranchised (though NARC had
>insisted on the regulation that caused this), and
>threatened to lead a million-man march on State House.
>
>
>But NARC's campaign was better characterised by
>Kibaki, virtually bedbound for the past three weeks
>after a car crash. On Friday, the man who promises he
>will 'Save Kenya' was so frail he had to cast his vote
>from the back of his Mercedes. NARC's campaign was
>mostly peaceful, disjointed and lethargic, counting
>entirely on the poor's desperation for change. Indeed
>it was they - and not Kibaki's slick London PR
>consultants - who supplied NARC's real slogan:
>'Unbwoggable' - the made-up title of a hit pop song,
>meaning 'unstoppable'.
>
>NARC also boasts Kanu's most accomplished thieves, so
>Kibaki's promise to fight corruption rings hollow. Yet
>NARC is also introducing a handful of distinguished
>activists to politics - notably Wangari Maathai, a
>celebrated environmentalist - and, most importantly,
>since Moi began constructing his patronage network
>Kenya has changed.
>
>High rates of literacy and an energetic press are
>closing many of the tribal divisions Moi abused to
>divide opposition.
>
>The Western donors who allowed Moi's cronies to steal
>their loans during the Cold War demand change too.
>Kenya's aid was frozen four years ago because of the
>corruption. If Kibaki wants the half billion pounds
>pending to restart Kenya's shrinking economy, he will
>need to offer stiff guarantees. Already he has
>promised to pass two anti-corruption Bills. One
>ensures that all politicians declare their wealth.
>
>
>HAVE A WONDERFUL DAY
>
>Sanusi
>
>
>
>
>
>--- Seedy Khan <[log in to unmask]>wrote: > An
>opposition leader, Mwai Kibaki has been confirmed
> > as the winner of Kenya's
> > Presidential elections.
> >
> > It will be recalled that Kibaki contested the
> > elections under the umbrella of
> > National Rainbow Coalition, a coalition of about 12
> > political parties.
> >
> > This is a huge example for the opposition political
> > parties in a country(The
> > Gambia), where there is no presidential term limits.
> > This, indeed, is a great
> > historic lesson ought to be emulated from the
> > Kenyans.
> >
> >
> >
> > In the coming ALD
> >
> >
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