France accused of attempted assassination in Guinea By John Newham
11 January 2010

Following an attempt on the life of the president of Guinea, Captain Moussa
“Dadis” Camara, on December 3, the Guinean communications minister, Idrissa
Cherif, has accused the French government of being complicit in the attack.

Camara was attacked by his aide, Aboubacar “Tumba” Diakite. Cherif stated
that only the French authorities know of the whereabouts of Diakite, who in
a recent interview on French RFI Radio, as reported by BBC News, stated that
he shot Camara in the neck to avoid being arrested and because he felt
“betrayed.”

Diakite had been held responsible by the regime for the massacre of 156
opposition supporters at a football stadium in the capital Conarky in
September. Others were severely beaten, and women were gang-raped. Camara
tried to distance himself from the incident at the time, denying having full
control over his men. However, the subsequent arrest of opposition leaders
and supporters, and the establishment of military checkpoints around the
capital, point to a government-organised campaign of oppression.

Camara, who is being treated for his wounds in the Moroccan capital, Rabat,
has been president for just over a year following the death of Lansana Conte
who held power for 24 years. Camara promised free democratic elections for
December 2010, in which he would not stand. The protest of an estimated
50,000 people in September was organised after his announcement that he
would stand in the planned elections.

A leaked United Nations report, based on interviews with more than 600
people, said at least 109 girls and women were subjected to rape, sexual
mutilation or kidnap for repeated rape. It called for Camara to be charged
with war crimes following the massacre. This has increased international
pressure on the regime.

President Barack Obama, and Presidents Ellen Johnson Sirleaf of Liberia and
Abdoulaye Wade of Senegal have called for Camara to step down. The latter
are close to the US and France, respectively. France, the former colonial
power, has announced that it will cut military aid to Guinea, but has
maintained relations with the country despite the football stadium atrocity.

Under former president Lansana Conté, Guinea aligned itself more closely
with the Western powers. He imposed austerity measures and economic reforms
dictated by the International Monetary Fund, designed to open up the economy
to Western corporations, giving them access to substantial mineral reserves
including bauxite, iron ore, gold, diamonds and uranium.

But official corruption was rife, with Guinea rated as the world’s most
corrupt state alongside Haiti. This acted as a major impediment to
investment. In the latter years of his regime, the country degenerated into
a narco-state, with the political and military elite taking a cut from the
trafficking of drugs from Latin America through Guinea, en route to Europe.

Camara came to power in December 2008 pledging to end this situation. He has
berated members of the previous regime on television but has done nothing
substantial to end either the narcotics trade or corruption generally. More
significantly, he has angered the mineral companies that have major
interests in Guinea by renegotiating their contracts.

Last year, Camara stripped Rio Tinto of part of its Simandou iron ore
concession and gave it to BSG Resources Guinea, a subsidiary of Israeli
businessman Benny Steinmetz’s BSG Resources. Simandou holds the largest
unexploited iron deposit in the world. Its development is seen as essential
to the survival of the company.

The *Times *of London suggested that Guinea had received a major offer from
China, which is rapidly developing its interests in Guinea. Russia and China
recently signed a deal to build a US$1 billion hydroelectric dam in Guinea.
In return, the Chinese will receive the right to mine bauxite. Guinea has
one third of the world’s bauxite, the ore that is used to make aluminium. It
supplies almost half of the bauxite imported into North America.

Mining as a whole produces 25 percent of the Guinean national income, and
bauxite extraction is the most significant sector of the industry. But the
government’s income from bauxite is expected to fall by 60 percent this year
in line with falling world prices.

“These are the revenues that allow the state to buy rice and pay for some of
the state’s obligations. The situation could be very tense,” Ibrahima
Soumah, a former minister for mines and currently a World Bank consultant,
said recently.

A hike in the price of rice and fuel helped to provoke mass strikes against
the previous regime in 2007. The prospect of government revenue collapsing
has given added urgency to the US and EU calls for elections. Major
transnational companies need a government that can control this mineral-rich
country.

Fundamental to the concerns of the US is that Guinea could provide access to
the considerable oil reserves located off its coastline. Recent seismic
surveys suggest sizeable deposits, with some estimates suggesting that its
offshore oil fields could supply the United States with up to a third of its
requirements within a decade.

The US condemnation of Guinea as an “unconstitutional government” indicates
that Washington is not willing to let a politically unstable regime,
prepared to cooperate with Moscow and Beijing, continue to hold office
indefinitely. Camara has stated that he will return to Guinea despite
international opposition.

America’s position in Africa has suffered from the debacles in Iraq and
Afghanistan. Obama made it clear when he visited Africa that he intends to
reassert American hegemony on the continent.

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton reiterated the same message on her visit.
She warned that investors would not tolerate failed leadership and civil
unrest. Obama recently used the US presidency of the UN to host a lunch for
African presidents at which trade and investment was at the top of the
agenda.

The US demand for elections and “transparency” in government is the means by
which the Obama administration hopes to break up the ruling African elites
that insist on taking a share of the profits generated by transnational
companies.

This agenda offers nothing for the mass of the population, who have already
lost the small concessions that were made to them after independence.
According to the World Food Programme, 53 percent of the population of
Guinea live in poverty, with the figure rising to 70 percent in rural areas.
Only 16 percent of the population have access to electricity. Students can
often be seen studying under the lights of Conakry airport. The average
income is less than a dollar a day, making Guinea one of the poorest
countries in the world despite its vast mineral wealth.

The present instability may see a realignment in the leadership of the junta
or the promotion by the Western powers of opposition leader Alpha Conde who
heads the Rally for the People of Guinea, to provide more favourable
opportunities for the further exploitation of the country’s resources at the
expensive of the wider population.
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