Part Two: Iranian arms in West Africa - set-up or mess-up?
By *RNW Africa Desk*
Created *24 December 2010 8:30*
 [image: Nigerian authorities display seized arms in Apapa port]

*"We have looked at several possibilities," says Mark Schroeder, the Africa
analyst at Stratfor, a global intelligence company. "Individual countries
such as the Gambia don’t need so many arms. Another one, like Ivory Coast
runs its own ports and can source weapons independently. So then we thought
about various insurgent groups in the region, like MEND in Nigeria and the
Casamance rebels. And we have certainly been thinking about AQMI (al-Qaeda
in the Islamic Maghreb, a loosely organised series of groups that has been
involved in kidnapping foreigners in among others Mauritania, Mali and
Niger)."*

*Part two, by Bram Posthumus and Sheriff Bojang*

Schroeder thinks that the weapons shipment could easily have had multiple
destinations. "And I’m sure the US government would love to get proof if
AQMI were to be one of the recipients of these arms. The US is concerned
about AQMI and has worked with various countries in the region to keep it in
check."

*The Iran connection*
The sender, Iran, does not have the habit of shipping arms directly to its
clients, such as Hezbollah in Lebanon. One Iranian deputy has declared that
it’s all a set-up by Western intelligence, designed to cause embarrassment
between Africa and Iran. Stratfor’s Mark Schroeder does not rule that out.
"This is not a high cost activity for Western intelligence," he says, "and
the US is always trying to put pressure on Iran’s behaviour. Every little
bit helps."

If so, they have succeeded and Senegal is a case in point. Iran was a
welcome guest at the summit of the Organisation of the Islamic Conference
that was hosted by Dakar in 2007. Two years later, Iranian president
Ahmadinejad paid a high-profile visit to the same city. Iran runs
development projects in Senegal, Iranian Khodro taxis (assembled locally)
ply the streets of Dakar – and crucially, Senegal supports Iran’s quest to
go nuclear.

Tehran maintains that the intercepted arms were part of a private business
transaction. But Nigerian newspapers report that the two Iranian businessmen
involved, Azim Aghajani and Sayed Akbar Tahmaesebi, were operatives of the
Revolutionary Guard, Iran’s chief military force.

*Two losers*
That would confirm Senegal’s view that you do not organise a private arms
shipment of this magnitude without the Iranian state knowing about it. Dakar
recalled its ambassador to Teheran on December 14th “for consultations”. A
break-up seems imminent.

So far, the fallout appears to affect mostly Iran and the Gambia. Both have
dreadful reputations internationally, in part thanks to their human rights
record. In addition, there is controversy over Iran’s nuclear plans, while
the Gambia is mostly known as a regional hub for money laundering, drugs
trafficking and now weapons smuggling. But it is even worse for Iran.

[related-articles]According to Mark Schroeder, it has just lost a valuable
pipeline. "This is an old supply chain that Iran has used for channelling
political interest and also drugs, weapons and money. Now it’s blocked.
Things may still go through Lagos but they will have to find new ways."

*Part one<http://www.rnw.nl/africa/article/part-one-iranian-arms-west-africa-set-or-mess>
[1] of this story was published on Thursday 23 December*


 ------------------------------
*Source URL:*
http://www.rnw.nl/article/part-two-iranian-arms-west-africa-set-or-mess
 *Links:*
[1]
http://www.rnw.nl/africa/article/part-one-iranian-arms-west-africa-set-or-mess
 *Images:*
[i1] Nigerian authorities display seized arms in Apapa port --
http://www.rnw.nl/data/files/images/lead/article/2010/12/nig.jpg
[i2] http://www.rnw.nl/


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