I tried to understand Hon. Hamat's reasoning here to make a case for an NRP-led alliance but I could not grasp the logic or idea;
For him, his party is open to an NRP-led alliance, which he said, is the most favorable thing ahead of the polls.
“This is not about Ousainou Darboe or Hamat Bah because it is beyond both of us. It is the interest of Gambians that is at stake. In 2006, over 60% of Gambians fail to vote. We have to reflect our minds honestly and sincerely. Why did they refuse to go and vote for our candidate we put forward under NRP/UDP alliance?” Bah asked.

So Hon. Hamat says this is not about Hon. Ousainou nor Hon. Hamat. That it is beyond both of them. Yet Hon. Hamat clamours for an NRP-led alliance of opposition parties with Hon. Hamat as Presidential candidate by default. Now where 60% of Gambians did not vote (it is unclear who they would have voted for among APRC/ARC/NADD if they had voted) why does Hon. Hamat think think those 60% silver-bullet voters would vote for the ARC in 2011 if Hon. Hamat is the Presidential candidate of ARC? Or did Hon. Hamat mean he deserves to be the presidential candidate of an ARC/NADD coalition?????? This is not making sense to me. If someone can get an explanation from Hon. Hamat we would appreciate it. It is not good to just talk for the sake of talking.

A former Upper Saloum parliamentarian, Hamat Bah is of the view that the NRP party is not convinced that a UDP led alliance can unseat President Jammeh. “If we want to genuinely remove President Jammeh for the sake of Gambians and for the sake of regaining our dignity, we need to reconsider our position and push a way forward,” he stated.

Here I think Hon. Hamat is inferring that Even though NRP voluntarily joined the UDP in an ARC alliance, the NRP voters formed part of the 60% silver-bullet voters who stayed home in 2006. And that if Hon. Hamat had been the presidential candidate for the ARC in 2006, these NRP silver-bullet voters would have come out to vote. There is something sinister and disingenuous about the way Hon. Hamat is thinking. First of all, let us agree with Hon. Hamat that it was because he was not the candidate of the ARC that was why the NRP voters did not vote for the UDP-led ARC. We must therefore interrogate what portion of the 60% silver-bullet voters are NRP voters????????? Giving Hon. Hamat the benefit of doubt and saying even 1/2 were NRP voters, what makes Hon. Hamat so sure that those who did come out and voted for the ARC alliance would have voted for it if Hon. Hamat were the ARC presidential candidate???? Ok let me slow down because this is iterative arithmetic and it could be complicated.:

Let's say 100,000 voted for ARC, 30,000 voted for NADD, and 150,000 voted for APRC. Since Hon Hamat said 60% of registered voters did not vote, (SBVs), we have to assume that those who voted constituted 40% of registered voters (100,000+30,000+150,000 = 280,000). Therefore, 700,000 is the total registered voters. This means the SBVs comprise 420,000 voters, and half of them, 210,000 are NRP voters.....Hehehehehe. And if 210,000 NRP voters did not vote for the ARC after Hon. Hamat shared with us that his constituents urged him to join the UDP in forming the ARC, why would they not vote for the ARC??????????? Perhaps it is because the 100,000 voted for ARC. Was it true that the NRP constituents actually supported the idea of Hon. Hamat joining the UDP in a UDP-led ARC????? Again forget that the numbers are actually accurate. We could take the actual voter roll for the 2006 elections and you would come away with the same appreciation.

And if the 210,000 NRP SVBs voters did not vote for their chosen alliance ARC, it is their God-given right. However, if we say 210,000 of the SVBs are NRP SBVs, how do we partition the other 210,000 SVBs among APRC, Pure UDP, and NADD????????????? And here's the kicker: How many of the 210,000 NRP SVBs forgot to vote for Hon. Hamat for his National Assembly seat??????????????

The second wing of this logic is that let us assume for fancy that Hon. hamat were the presidential candidate for ARC in 2006 and all of the 210,000 NRP SVBs came out in their eminent splendour and voted for ARC. Then the 100,000 who voted for ARC stayed home, and we partition the other 210,000 SVBs among APRC and NADD, would Hon. Hamat win??? For fancy sakes again, let us assume half (105,000) voted for APRC and the other half (105,000) voted for NADD, you will see how APRC remains victor with the ARC coming in second place. WHich is what ARC did in 2006...Come in second. If we further say that well if 105,000 SVBs were to vote for APRC depending on who leads the ARC, it will be safe to assume that they would have voted for APRC when Hon. Ousainou led the ARC, right? Right. So it goes without saying that the 105,000 SVBs attributable to APRC are really NADD voters. And if we add all 210,000 non-NRP SVBs to NADD's tally, NADD then should have gotten 240,000 votes in 2006 when Hon. Hamat was the ARC candidate. Which means that NADD wins, ARC comes in second, and APRC comes in dead last. And we still had 100,000 ARC voters who may have abstained when the NRP SVBs found reason to vote ARC.

Meaning that Hon. Hamat joining the UDP to form the ARC and compete with NADD and APRC was a monumental error in judgement. It robbed NADD from victory and ridding us of Yahya. This is both callous and inconsiderate.

It also means that if Hon. Hamat had joined the UDP and NADD and insisted on a NADD flagbearer, the opposition would have achieved the greatest goal of the century. UNITY and RIDDING Gambia of Yahya at the same time. That would have been an astonishing mandate that sends all of Yahya's presumption of overwhelming love from Gambians asunder.
Things do not add up no matter how you process the information we are given by Hon. Hamat. I hope he can help us decipher how he Hon. Hamat could win where Hon. Ousainou failed for their combined ARC project.

Haruna. Thank you Cous Fakoo Fakoo for the opportunity to understand what men conjure up in their minds.




-----Original Message-----
From: Fankung Fankung Jammeh <[log in to unmask]>
To: GAMBIA-L <[log in to unmask]>
Sent: Tue, Sep 20, 2011 7:58 am
Subject: [G_L] ‘NRP will not subscribe to UDP-Led Alliance’ - I LOVE THE GAMBIAN OPPOSITION

‘NRP will not subscribe to UDP-Led Alliance’

Tuesday, September 20, 2011
In what appears as a big setback to the efforts by the opposition camp in the country to form a united front ahead of forthcoming presidential elections in November, Hamat Bah, leader of the opposition National Reconciliation Party, has stressed that his party will not subscribe to a United Democratic Party (UDP)-led alliance or a PDOIS proposed candidate.
Bah, who threw his weight behind a UDP-led alliance in the 2006 elections, after having lost to incumbent President Yahya Jammeh on two occasions (in 1996 and 2001), made this pronouncement in an interview with this reporter yesterday.
“For the past two years, we have made it very clear that we will sponsor a candidate in the forthcoming presidential election, and that is explicitly clear,” Bah said.
According to him, it is wrong to say that the NRP is frustrating the efforts of the opposition in their efforts to form a united front.
“What is happening is that our party’s position has been communicated to all political parties present at these meetings,” he added.
The NRP leader stated that when his party was invited by the UDP to a meeting to discuss the issue of an alliance, the NRP consulted its party supporters both at home and abroad for their views.
“While those aboard subscribed to the idea of joining a UDP-led alliance, those residing here in the Gambia objected to the idea of a UDP-led alliance and even the selection of a PDOIS proposed candidate.
“This matters a lot to us as a party, because the voters are more important to us than any other thing, as they are the ones that go to the polling stations to vote,” he noted.
Bah further stated that the NRP will consider a proposal different from the UDP proposal, but only after consultation with its party members.
For him, his party is open to an NRP-led alliance, which he said, is the most favorable thing ahead of the polls.
“This is not about Ousainou Darboe or Hamat Bah because it is beyond both of us. It is the interest of Gambians that is at stake. In 2006, over 60% of Gambians fail to vote. We have to reflect our minds honestly and sincerely. Why did they refuse to go and vote for our candidate we put forward under NRP/UDP alliance?” Bah asked.
A former Upper Saloum parliamentarian, Hamat Bah is of the view that the NRP party is not convinced that a UDP led alliance can unseat President Jammeh. “If we want to genuinely remove President Jammeh for the sake of Gambians and for the sake of regaining our dignity, we need to reconsider our position and push a way forward,” he stated.
He further stated that what the opposition camp in the country needs is a winning candidate and an alliance that can effect change. “NRP cannot go without participating in politics and my name will be on the ballot boxes and we will challenge the APRC,” he said, adding that the NRP will prove critics wrong come 24th November.
In conclusion, the NRP leader opined that as long as opposition parties are failing to use political solution for political problems, they will always fail. “We need to hold the bull by the horn and resolve our problems through political means because we are in a situation that demands that. We must be properly organized and well committed to the course,” he said.
Author: Sainey M.K. Marenah
Source: Picture: Hamat Bah

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GOD BLESS THE GAMBIA.
LET US JOIN HANDS AND SUPPORT SHEIKH PROFESSOR DR. ALH YAHYA JAMMEH (NASIRU DEEN) TO BUILD OUR COUNTRY.

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