Laye

By all means, please take your time, take your own counsel, and "draw your own conclusions".

We do not need to be in The Gambia to know where discussions around a united front were heading, but we were called pessimists and more. Some two or more years ago, I predicted, right here on the L, that based on my analysis of pronouncements coming out of Halifa, and PDOIS, opposition Gambia was not on track for a united front in this year's presidential contest.

We are finally there and Halifa did not disappoint.

I have always said Halifa is a consummate and media savvy politician, but this time around, he disastrously overplayed his hand. A party like NRP that he implicitly (for me explicitly) accused of engaging in tribal politics will now produce the flag bearer for Halifa's convention-adherent parties. And these parties are NRP, PDOIS, and GPDP. If there is a NADD, it is fully subsumed in PDOIS and the pretence that it is a independent entity ought to be dropped.

In the long run, Halifa will be the biggest loser

Please give us your reaction on the press release tomorrow, but for me, the only substantive item will be the announcement of Hamat Bah as flag bearer for NRP, PDOIS, and GPDP.

Earlier today, I sent a short memo to myself on issues herein discussed and I shall be posting it separately.

Interesting times regardless.

LJDarbo

From: Laye Jallow <[log in to unmask]>
To: [log in to unmask]
Sent: Friday, 28 October 2011, 18:29
Subject: Re: [G_L] Fwd: IS THE UNDBELIEVABLE HAPPENING? SIGNING CEREMONY OF MOU OF UNITED FRONT OF OPPOSITION PARTIES

Joe:

I was going to wait for details to draw my own conclusions. However, you've raised the questions that I believe most readers of this release would have asked. From the tone of the editorial, one can say there is a hint of pride and achievement or I may go as far as saying some sarcasm. If PDOIS is showing pride in coming together with all the other "lesser" contenders and selecting Hamat Bah as the leader of this outfit - as you alluded to - then I know I underestimated the ideological-cum-personality rift between PDOIS and UDP or more specifically between Halifa and Ousainou. This is serious stuff Joe. They seem to believe that the voters will settle down for a half-ass (excuse me) front they're calling "united."

I await details but thanks for the thought provoking note as always.

-Laye

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