ARIZONA: Democrat Richard Carmona’s entry into the race has put this red state in play, according to a new poll. Republican Rep. Jeff Flake
– "one of the GOP's most outspoken critics of extending the payroll tax
cut” – leads Carmona by just 4 points, 40-36. Carmona is receiving
especially strong support from Hispanic voters, who favor him 56-19. [Full Story]
FLORIDA: A new poll of Sunshine State voters shows that Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson has a 46-35 lead over Republican Connie Mack,
and an even larger lead over the rest of the GOP field. The Republican
primary is shaping up to be brutal slog, and whoever emerges will most
likely be damaged for the general election. [Full Story]
MASSACHUSETTS: This is a state where we have a really good shot at turning a red Senate seat blue. Elizabeth Warren
is building a massive following, and in recent polls, she’s either tied
with or leading Wall Street’s favorite senator, Republican Scott Brown. This is definitely a race to keep your eyes on. [Full Story]
MONTANA: A brand new Montana Chamber of Commerce poll has Democratic Sen. Jon Tester leading Republican Rep. Dennis Rehberg
by 5 points – and that’s after the national Chamber of Commerce ran a
slew of attack ads targeting Tester. Rehberg, if you remember, is the
lawmaker who sued his hometown fire department and called Pell grants
“the welfare of the 21st century.” [Full Story]
NEVADA: In Nevada, a recent poll showed Democratic Rep. Shelley Berkley in a dead heat with appointed Sen. Dean Heller,
45-45. In a previous poll, Heller led by 3 points. Heller has the
dubious distinction of being the only lawmaker to vote for Rep. Paul Ryan’s End Medicare Plan twice – once in the House and once after he was appointed to the Senate. [Full Story]
NORTH DAKOTA: The entry of former Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp
into the North Dakota Senate race caused leading analysts to shift
their prediction from Likely Republican to Tossup. And recent polling
shows Heitkamp leading freshman GOP Rep. Rick Berg by 5 points, 47-42. In fact, only 28% of poll respondents gave Berg favorable marks, while 56% were thumbs down. [Full Story]
WISCONSIN: The most recent polling in Wisconsin shows a tossup, with Democratic Rep. Tammy Baldwin
within the margin of error of three Republican candidates. The
Republican primary in Wisconsin is hotly contested and has already
become nasty, giving Baldwin the opportunity to concentrate on sharing
her plan to create jobs, protect Medicare and Social Security and put
middle class families first. [Full Story]
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