again peter is right you are much better off taking the shots than taking your chances. 

--- On Sun, 5/10/09, Peter Hunsberger <[log in to unmask]> wrote:

> From: Peter Hunsberger <[log in to unmask]>
> Subject: Re: Time to wake up the list, if possible
> To: [log in to unmask]
> Date: Sunday, May 10, 2009, 10:20 PM
> Not sure of your question? If it's
> about this years shot protecting against
> swine flue, that is our current best knowledge.
> If you're asking about the effectiveness of getting the
> shot each year,
> absolutely.  There is a very small portion of the
> population that should not
> get the shot (they have compromised immune systems). 
> For everyone else,
> you're odds are about 75% better for not getting the flu --
> regardless of
> which strain actually shows up --, if you get your shot,
> then if you do not
> get the shot.
> 
> On Sun, May 10, 2009 at 2:19 PM, Kathy Pink <[log in to unmask]>
> wrote:
> 
> > Are you sure , Peter?
> >
> > On 5/10/09, Peter Hunsberger <[log in to unmask]>
> wrote:
> > > That's a very bad assumption.  Just so
> happens, if you got your flu shot
> > > this year you are mostly protected from the
> current version of the swine
> > flu
> > > (as far as we know at the moment).  The
> reason being, that the people
> > doing
> > > the predicting guessed correctly on one of what
> was likely to be the most
> > > likely new variants to show up this year, 
> Not getting the flu shot each
> > > year greatly increases your odds of catching the
> flu.
> > > I'll be attending a lecture on Monday by one of
> the people who heads up
> > the
> > > effort to make the predictions, part of the talk
> is about how they pick
> > > which flu variants are most likely to show
> up.  I can already tell you
> > its
> > > an extremely set of sophisticated set of
> predictions that takes into
> > account
> > > mutation rates (among other things).  Please
> don't put your health and
> > the
> > > health of others around you at risk, get your flu
> shots every year!
> > >
> > > On Sat, May 9, 2009 at 2:34 PM, Tamar Raine
> <[log in to unmask]>
> > wrote:
> > >
> > > > Yeah, your conclusion is right, Virginia,
> One reason I don't get flu
> > shots
> > > > is they make them based on last year's flu.
> They can't really predict
> > it.
> > > >
> > >
> > >
> > > --
> > > Peter Hunsberger
> > >
> > > -----------------------
> > >
> > > To change your mail settings or leave the C-PALSY
> list, go here:
> > >
> > > http://listserv.icors.org/SCRIPTS/WA-ICORS.EXE?SUBED1=c-palsy
> > >
> >
> >
> > --
> > Kathy Jo Pink
> > e-Mail Addresses:  [log in to unmask], [log in to unmask],
> > [log in to unmask],
> and [log in to unmask]
> >
> >
> >
> > Pogo Usual ScreenName:  PerkPinkPerky
> >
> > -----------------------
> >
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> >
> 
> 
> 
> -- 
> Peter Hunsberger
> 
> -----------------------
> 
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