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The Gambia and Related Issues Mailing List <[log in to unmask]>
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Mon, 5 Nov 2012 13:49:29 -0500
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Nice Alhaji.

Haruna.
 

-----Original Message-----
From: Alhaji Saidy <[log in to unmask]>
To: GAMBIA-L <[log in to unmask]>
Sent: Mon, Nov 5, 2012 1:40 pm
Subject: Re: [G_L] Press Release: NTCG Claims its Forces Will Overthow Jammeh


Khaleel,

I share some of your frustrations with our inability to come together for the 
betterment of our dear Gambia. Reading your last response on the NTCG claims of 
infiltrating Gambia, I assume you have either been in the military or that you 
are currently serving. You did mention that you have seen combat in real life. I 
am not sure what capacity you served in combat, but I am afraid that you seem to 
discount some basic military tactics that can make or break any mission. The 
element of surprise, as you right alluded to, is one of the principles of war, 
along with security, maneuver, mass, economy of force etc. You have a problem 
with the NTCG releasing a press statement announcing their presence on Gambian 
soil because in your view, that takes away the element of surprise. To a 
non-military person, that looks like a sound argument but for someone like 
yourself (someone that has seen real-life combat and not from movies), I would 
expect that you would know better. Let me pivot here and say that I have a 
gazillion amount of respect for Joe Sambou (I am yet to meet him). I bring him 
up because you piggybacked on his take on this same issue. 

The element of surprise is what you make of it. You may have heard of PSYOPS 
(Psychological Operations) and MILDEC (Military Deception). These are 
specialties solely dedicated to psychological operations and military deception 
tactics against an enemy force. In both specialties, the manipulation of 
information to make the enemy believe what you want them to believe is key. 
Military deception involves the use of information or propaganda to make the 
enemy believe a particular piece/set of information (something you want the 
enemy to believe). An instance of military deception will be when Saddam Hussein 
was led to believe that the coalitions forces will be conducting an amphibious 
assault on Iraq during desert storm. A 15,000 Marine Expeditionary Brigade was 
deployed on 13 different ships in the Gulf poised for an amphibious landing in 
Kuwait. They even invited unwitting journalists aboard the ships and discussed 
certain plans of the attack (military deception at work). Saddam positioned five 
troops for every Marine aboard the ships and dug in ready for the supposed 
amphibious assault. Ground forces advanced from behind the Iraqi forces and by 
the time they knew what direction they were being attacked from, it was too late 
(element of surprise). 

I am not saying this to say the NTCG is engaged in military deception or 
psychological operations (by releasing a statement to the press). Only they know 
what their tactics are ( I am not affiliated with them in any capacity). You 
admitted that you are not familiar with the planning of the "NTCG Operation" and 
went on to further list certain conditions that must be met if rebel groups can 
succeed against an established army (defection from the army being one of them). 
How do you know that those conditions cannot be met by the NTCG given that you 
are not privy to any of their plans? Military operations go beyond what you see 
on an operational order (OPORD). The kicking down of doors, combat patrols, 
raids, ambushes etc are usually part of a larger strategic plan. 

There are other fundamental flaws within your argument but at the risk of saying 
more than necessary, I will stand down. I will only urge that we all take care 
in the assumptions we make about other's efforts especially when we are not 
privy to the inner workings of such organizations. 

I have followed your takes on various issues here and you have some interesting 
perspectives. Please keep them coming. Thank you. 

V/R

Alhaji Saidy

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